In both varieties the weather is the two frontal systems pushed into one stack. A cold occlusion serves warm-front weather first and cold-front weather straight after: cirrus, cirrostratus and altostratus running ahead, then deep nimbostratus with prolonged precipitation, with cumulonimbus embedded near the occlusion point throwing heavier, showery bursts into the steady rain. Ground visibility is poor throughout the precipitation belt. The hazards: prolonged icing in the deep layered cloud, turbulence and thunderstorm risk in the embedded cumulonimbus, and low cloud around the front. True to its cold-front character it also ends like one: the cloud shield is narrower than a pure warm front's, and it clears comparatively quickly into bright, showery air once through.
A warm occlusion is the slower, murkier version. The same combined cloud stack arrives, but the surface front behaves like a warm front: cloud lowering over hours, a long belt of continuous precipitation, and ground visibility deteriorating slowly and recovering slowly. Its particular menace is the very cold wedge ahead: precipitation falling from the warm air aloft into air well below freezing sets up a serious freezing-rain risk, on top of prolonged airframe icing in the layered cloud and cumulonimbus embedded along the upper cold front.
Occlusion weather and seasons
Season sets the flavour. In winter, occlusions mean long-lived layered cloud, snow or freezing precipitation, prolonged icing and grey murk down to low level, among the most persistent producers of instrument weather in the European year. In summer, the extra heating destabilises the lifted warm air: embedded thunderstorms become the main threat, hidden inside layered cloud where they cannot be seen and avoided (more in the flight-hazards module), though the cloud sheet itself breaks up sooner after passage.
The stationary front
Not every front advances. A stationary front (quasi-stationary, in the careful language of charts) is a front showing little or no movement: neither air mass is replacing the other, and the warm air flows parallel to the front rather than across it, so there is nothing to drive it forward. Its weather is weak warm-front weather that refuses to leave: extensive layered cloud, intermittent light rain or drizzle, and poor ground visibility, lingering over the same area for days. The hazards are patience-testing rather than violent: prolonged instrument conditions and icing in the layered cloud. But a stationary front is also a loaded spring: a wave forming on it can grow into the next depression, which is exactly the process the next section describes.
The life of a depression
The polar front is rarely straight for long. The life cycle of a mid-latitude depression (the Norwegian wave model) runs in four acts. First, a wave forms on the polar front: warm air bulges poleward, cold air digs in behind, and pressure at the tip of the wave begins to fall. Second, the open wave: a young depression with warm front, cold front and warm sector, deepening as it runs east-northeastward; the northern-hemisphere track along the polar front, and the stage of the previous lesson, its cloud and rain belts broad along the warm front and narrow and violent along the cold front. Third, occlusion: the cold front catches the warm front at the centre, the low is near its deepest, and the occlusion point works outward. Fourth, fully occluded, the depression is cut off from the warm moist air that fed it: it slows, fills and the fronts dissolve, the whole story running its course in a few days, typically under a week.
Depressions also travel in company. On the long trailing cold front of one system a new wave often forms, so that a family of depressions follows one another along the polar front, each centre typically passing farther equatorward than the last, until an outbreak of polar air finally sweeps the sequence away and the front reforms.
Rules of movement
Forecasting begins with moving what is already on the chart. The rules the examination wants:
A front moves at right angles to its own line, at the speed of the geostrophic wind component perpendicular to the front, read from the isobar spacing across it, using the geostrophic rules of the wind module.
A warm front travels at about two thirds of that geostrophic component.
A cold front travels at about the full geostrophic component: roughly one and a half to two times the warm front's speed, which is why every warm sector eventually closes.
A frontal depression moves parallel to the isobars of its warm sector, at about the speed of the geostrophic wind in the warm sector.
Young, deepening depressions move fastest; as a depression occludes it slows down and begins to fill.