The thermodynamics module promised that supercooled water would matter, and the clouds module showed it arriving as freezing rain. This lesson makes good on both: where and when ice actually accretes on an aircraft — in the air, on the ground, and in a place with no cloud in sight at all, the carburettor of a piston engine on a warm, humid day. The next lesson takes what kind of ice grows; this one takes the conditions.
What ice needs
Strip every icing story to its skeleton and the same requirements appear:
an aircraft surface at or below 0 °C — the airframe's own temperature, not the gauge reading, is the real criterion;
outside air cold enough to carry supercooled water, from 0 °C down to about −40 °C, with everything serious concentrated in the warmer half of that range;
liquid water to freeze on impact: supercooled droplets in cloud, fog, rain or drizzle; or, with no liquid at all,
water vapour sublimating directly onto a sub-zero surface as hoar frost — the one route that needs neither cloud nor precipitation.
Most of the list should feel familiar. The thermodynamics module built the physics: freezing needs freezing nuclei, and freezing nuclei are rare — so cloud droplets cooled below 0 °C simply stay liquid, ready to freeze the instant they touch a wing, and only near −40 °C do they finally freeze spontaneously without one. The clouds module added the two ways liquid water arrives already below zero outside cloud: freezing rain from a warm nose aloft, and freezing drizzle grown by coalescence inside sub-zero stratus.
The supercooled-water supply
How much supercooled water the air offers depends on temperature, and the relationship is the exam's favourite curve: the greatest amounts sit just below 0 °C, and the amount falls steadily as the air gets colder — partly because more and more droplets have found nuclei and frozen, partly because colder air holds less water in the first place. By −40 °C the cloud is essentially all ice crystals, and crystals mostly bounce off a cold, dry airframe rather than stick. That is why the band the thermodynamics module flagged, 0 °C to about −20 °C, where supercooled water is common, is where most airframe icing happens, and why icing reported at −35 °C is rare and usually light.